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Table 4 Diagnostic performance of CDAs using low-risk criteria

From: Scoping review of clinical decision aids in the assessment and management of febrile infants under 90 days of age

CDA (with low risk criteria)

Low risk criteria

Year of derivation

Derivation Methodology

Sensitivity SBI

Specificity SBI

PPV SBI

NPV SBI

Sensitivity IBI

Specificity IBI

PPV IBI

NPV IBI

Validation (Number of studies)

Lab Score [12, 29, 39]

Low risk: Lab score ≤ 31 point is attributed to positive urine dipstick; 2 points for PCT ≥ 0.5 ng/mL or CRP ≥ 40 mg/L; and 4 points to procalcitonin ≥ 2 ng/mL or CRP ≥ 100 mg/L

2008

Regression Analysis

46%—52% -

92 – 95%

76%−80%

78%—83%

59.8—88.9%

84—89%

8- 15%

98—99.5%

3

Morgan Stanley Children Hospital Protocol [40]

Low risk: WBC count between 5000 and 15 000/μL, manual differential of immature: total neutrophil ratio of < 0.2, urinalysis with < 10 WBC/high-power field, normal glucose and liver function tests (If obtained: Normal CSF, Stool and CXR test.)

2012

Expert Consensus and Evidence Synthesis

97.40%

17.3%

26.1%

95.7%

-

-

-

-

1

NICE NG143 [15, 41]

 > 1 month, well appearing, WCC 5–10^9/L

2019

Expert Consensus and Evidence Synthesis

91%

9%

14%

86%

93%

27%

5%

99%

2

NICE NG51 [15]

 > 3 months

2016

Expert Consensus and Evidence Synthesis

100%

0

14%

N/A

-

-

-

-

1

Step by Step [12, 20, 21, 39, 42]

Well appearing, > 21 days + absence of Leukoctouria + PCT > 0.5 ng/mL + (ANC > 10

^9/L OR CRP > 20 mg/L)

2014

Expert Consensus and Evidence Synthesis

94–98%

17–68%

23–37%

94–99%

92—100%

12.4—46.9%

4- 7.4%

99.3—100%

4

Roseville protocol [43, 44]

7—28 days: Temp < 38.5C, Normal WBC, absolute band count and urinalysis. 22—60 days: Normal WBC, absolute band count and urinalysis

2016

Expert Consensus and Evidence Synthesis

-

-

-

-

96.7% (7–28 days), 91.4% (29–60 days)

31.7% (7–28 days), 58.5% (29–60 days)

6.6% (7–28 days), 6.3% (29–60 days)

99.5% (7–28 days), 99.6% (29–60 days)

2

Aronson IBI Score [18, 20, 21, 32, 41, 45]

Low risk: IBI score of 2

Newborn < 21 d old: 1 point, Body temperature 38.0–38.4 °C: 2 points, Body temperature > 38.4 °C: 4 points, Abnormal urinalysis result: 3 points, Neutrophils > 5.185 *10^9/L: 2 points

2019

Regression Analysis

99–100%

31–32%

13%

82%

85—100%

26.6—43%

2.7—4%

99.7—100%

5

PECARN [13, 20, 39, 46, 47]

Negative urinalysis, ANC < / = 4000/uL and PCT < 0.5 ng/ml

2019

Recursive Partitioning

88.4—98.8%

36.6—64%

19.5—41.1%

86.3—99.8%

89–100%

29–63%

4–5%

99–100%

5

BSAC[15, 41]

 > 1 month and well appearing, negative urinalysis, CRP < 20 mg/L

2020

Expert Consensus and Evidence Synthesis

82%

14%

13%

82%

99

20

5

100

2

AAP [16, 17, 41, 44, 48, 49]

 > 21 days, appearing well, ANC < 5.2^9/L, CRP < 20 mg/L, Fever < 38.5 °C

2021

Expert Consensus and Evidence Synthesis

84%

51%

-

94%

93–100%

17—50.7%

2.7—4.3%

99.3—100%

6

AAP V2 [48]

ANC ≤ 4500/mm3, CRP ≤ 22.2 mg/L, TMax ≤ 39.0 °C

2025

Regression Analysis

-

-

-

-

100%

83.8%

 

100%

0

CA FIRST [50]

Aged 29—60, Well appearing, normal urinalysis + bronchiolitis

2021

Expert Consensus and Evidence Synthesis

95% (7–21 days), 100% (22–28 days), 90% (29–60 days)

27% (7–21 days), 32% (22–28 days), 56% (29–60 days)

10% (7–21 days), 7% (22–28 days), 6% (29–60 days)

99% (7–21 days), 100% (22–28 days), 99% (29–60 days)

-

-

-

-

0

  1. CA FIRST California Febrile Infant Risk Stratification Tool, Lab Score Laboratory score, NICE National Institute for Health and Care Excellence, BSAC British Society for Antimicrobial Chemotherapy, PECARN Pediatric Emergency Care Applied Research Network, AAP American Academy of Pediatrics, Tmax Maximum temperature, WBC/WCC White blood cell count, ANC Absolute neutrophil count, CRP C-reactive protein, PCT Procalcitonin, CDA Clinical decision aid, IBI Invasive bacterial infection, SBI Serious bacterial infection, PPV Positive predictive value, NPV Negative predictive value, AUC Area under the curve